Security Analysis
一句话:Graham 与 Dodd 1934 年合著的价值投资奠基教科书,其出版 50 周年纪念活动,是 Buffett 发表反有效市场假说演讲的由头。
简介
1934 年,Ben Graham 与 David Dodd 合著出版《Security Analysis》。David 形容它是一本"教材、学术著作"——"极厚、极密,不是给人拿来通读的"("It's super thick, dense. It's not meant to be readable."),坦承自己没有读过。这本书与后来更通俗的《The Intelligent Investor》一起开创了系统化、基于企业基本面、把股票当作生意的一部分而非赌马彩票来分析的方法——DCF 估值与基本面分析由此发端,"价值投资"这一流派也由此得名(Graham-and-Doddsville)。
推荐理由
本集没有人直接把这本书推荐给听众去读,它的分量在于是价值投资的源头文本,也是三部曲的核心论据:1984 年,Columbia 商学院举办 Security Analysis 出版 50 周年纪念活动,Buffett 借这个场合发表了那场著名的反有效市场假说演讲"The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville",用格雷厄姆门徒们长期跑赢大盘的集体战绩,正面反驳"alpha 不存在"的学院派理论;Charlie Munger 对 EMH 的评价只有一个词——"bullshit"。David 也在闲聊中开玩笑,把自己读不下去的《白鲸记》比作"我的 Security Analysis"——"我需要的是它的 Intelligent Investor 版本"("It was the security analysis, if I needed the Intelligent Investor version of it."),侧面印证这本书在两人心目中"重要但难啃"的地位。
出处
[acquired-berkshire-1]:David 讲述青年 Buffett 求学历程时提及本书,原话:'Now, Graham and Dodd together had written and published Security Analysis back in 1934, but that was a textbook. That was an academic. I haven't read it but it's super thick, dense. It's not meant to be readable.' [acquired-berkshire-2]:1984 年 Superinvestors 演讲一节,原话:'At Columbia's 50th Anniversary event of the publishing of security analysis, he gives this talk where he just calls it The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville that gives this long talk eviscerating the efficient market hypothesis folks economists.'